Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk a whopping 58.0% of his field goals this season, a big improvement over his 49.6 mark last season.
Jalen Johnson has converted 51.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's feeble 32.5% rate of made threes places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 15.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Magic have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hawks.
The matchup against Orlando may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

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