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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has converted an impressive 6.0 buckets per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.3 rate last year.

Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have registered 15.8 points per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Spurs, creating a tough matchup for offensive output.

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