Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 13.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a positive one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (40.8%).
The 3rd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
With respect to treys, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 32.4% rate of successful threes ranks 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have nabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can generate added chances for offense).

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