Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 29.5 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goals (21st-highest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Hawks's unimpressive 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Jalen Johnson ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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