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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has converted 71.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 6.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 29.6 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.

The Hawks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Hawks rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 2.5 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, creating a challenging matchup.

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).

Jalen Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in production across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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