Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 2.3 mark, Jalen Johnson's shots from the field hit have risen this year to 5.8 per game.
Jalen Johnson has played 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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