Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has successfully made an impressive 61.8% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 49.6 mark last year.
In comparison to last year's 28.4% mark, Jalen Johnson's 3-point performance has increased this year to 45.5%.
Compared to last season's 14.0 mark, Jalen Johnson's playing time has spiked this season to 29.5 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (20.6).
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last year.
The Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).

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