Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 49.6% mark, Jalen Johnson's scoring efficiency has risen this season to 60.2%.
Jalen Johnson has sunk a terrific 40.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 28.4 mark last year.
Jalen Johnson has tallied a terrific 29.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 14.0 minutes per game last year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 47.9% on threes (28th-best in the league) against the New York Knicks, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).

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