Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.3 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
The Hawks check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage (29th-most in the league).
Jalen Johnson stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Hawks have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league on the road since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Washington is a hard one for scoring; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (45.0%).
Jalen Johnson has successfully made 61.8% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.

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