Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 4.6 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.8 mark last season.
In comparison to last year's 4.8 clip, Jalen Johnson's playing time has increased this year to 14.0 minutes per game.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
When playing on the road, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson has made just 61.3% of his free throws this year, a significant dropoff from his 83.3 rate last year.
This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 24.6 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).
Jalen Johnson stands to experience a decrease in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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