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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Johnson has converted 4.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.
  • Jalen Johnson has been on the court for an impressive 14.1 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 minutes per game last year.
  • This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.3%).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • While at home, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production across the board.

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