Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has converted 4.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for an impressive 14.1 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 minutes per game last year.
This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.3%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
While at home, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production across the board.

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