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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Johnson has sunk 4.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on the road.
  • This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on their home court, their opposition have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.3%).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Johnson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
  • When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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