Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 1:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 5.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Jalen Johnson has played a whopping 14.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.8 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (108.0).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
The Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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