Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has played 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in the NBA as the road team with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Jalen Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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