Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 1.6 clip, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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