Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:45 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have come down with 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).
Jalen Johnson will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has missed 3.0 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Hawks have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 4.1 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.