Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-265/+190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has converted 51.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's feeble 32.5% rate of made threes places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a tough one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (4.1).
The Magic have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hawks.

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