Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 9, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has converted a terrific 41.7% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly more than his 35.5 mark last season.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 29.9% on threes (11th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a hard matchup.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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