Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has posted 5.1 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league leaders by this standard in recent games: 91st percentile.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 7th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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