Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-199/+143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 5.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch: 94th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Jalen Johnson figures to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Hawks are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat).
The Hawks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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