Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has totaled 5.5 assists per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will likely get a boost in output across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

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