Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 11, 2024

Updated Dec 12, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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