Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied 5.3 assists per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category recently.
Jalen Johnson has played 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

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