Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has put up 5.4 assists per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.7 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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