Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 4.3 assists per game since the start of last season at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 79th percentile.
Jalen Johnson has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Jalen Johnson will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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