Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied 6.4 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

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