Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has totaled 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this contest.

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