Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

LA Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has totaled 3.5 assists per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric recently.
Jalen Johnson has played 33.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 1.6 rate, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.
Jalen Johnson figures to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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