Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied 4.7 assists per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

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