Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 3.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard over this stretch.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The New York Knicks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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