Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 8:10 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has put up 3.4 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Jalen Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has come down with 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will likely see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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