Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 3.6 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders in this category over this stretch: 80th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have come down with 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

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