Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has posted 3.6 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league's best in this category recently: 79th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year.
The quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jalen Johnson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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