Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -174 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has put up 3.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.
Jalen Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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