Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has totaled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year at home.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

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