Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 29.6 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).
Jalen Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in production across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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