Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +133 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied an impressive 2.4 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 assists per game last season.
Jalen Johnson has tallied a terrific 29.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 14.0 minutes per game last year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).

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