Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 11thbest in in the league when playing at home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have snagged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (saving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Jalen Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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