Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 6:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 2.5 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for an impressive 14.1 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 minutes per game last year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

While at home, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production across the board.

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