Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 22, 2026 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-113/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has tallied 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 7th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).
The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 14.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Suns's poor 107.8 points per game as the home team settles in as the weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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