Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2026

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 17, 2026

Updated Mar 18, 2026 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has scored 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 more than he's scored overall this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 3rd-best in the league while playing away from home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
As a team, the Suns have been bad at getting to the charity stripe without the home court advantage: 2nd-worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 19.3 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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