Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green rates in the 94th percentile for shots, tallying 17.2 per game this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 threes per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Green has averaged 32.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 21.6% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, creating a difficult matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

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