Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Jalen Green has attempted 9.7 threes per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.9 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has attempted 5.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged 21.6% on threes (lowest in the league) against the Warriors, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

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