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Jalen Green

Jalen Green Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Green has attempted 7.6 threes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 45.4% field goal percentage rates 8th-fewest in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the Warriors is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (38.4%).
  • The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
  • Jalen Green has converted 57.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 21.0% lower than he's put through the net overall this season on the road.
  • Jalen Green will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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