Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 23, 2025

Updated Apr 24, 2025 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green places in the 94th percentile for shots taken, registering 17.5 per game this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have shot 21.6% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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