Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has successfully made 47.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green registers in the 95th percentile for three-point attempts while on the road, totaling 7.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Green slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has attempted 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Rockets's lackluster 12.3 sunk threes per game as the visting team comes in as the 8th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have shot 37.1% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The 9th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production for all stats.

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