Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 22.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Jalen Green has attempted 11.2 threes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Jalen Green has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The 7th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the Rockets's poor 34.8% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 7th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shots from the field (worst in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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