Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Jalen Green has attempted 11.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Hawks).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 44.9% field goal percentage playing at home rates 5th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).
The 8th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.

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