Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Jalen Green has attempted 10.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Jalen Green has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

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