Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has averaged 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Jalen Green has attempted 11.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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